FlightAware preliminary data reports 5,873 total delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, propelling trader consensus to 99.7% on the >5,000 outcome as the market awaits the official 12:00 PM ET snapshot from that source for resolution. Adverse weather including low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupted operations at major Northeast hubs like Boston (BOS) and New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), while FAA-mandated arrival reductions at San Francisco International Airport (SFO) due to runway construction exacerbated nationwide backups. This commanding lead reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of real-time tracking, with slim upset scenarios limited to unlikely data revisions or snapshot discrepancies lowering the count below 5,000.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
